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--- probably_wrong [2026/09/11 08:39] – ultracomfy
+++ probably_wrong [2026/09/11 08:47] (current) – ultracomfy
@@ Line 7: / Line 7: @@
 <fs xx-large>Probably Wrong</fs></WRAP>\\
-In essence, "probably wrong" is my reason to stay humble, in general and in particular about my beliefs. As a humankind, we have learned a lot and always thought there isn't more to learn. As good scientists, we change our beliefs when we find evidence that contradicts our current understanding. I think it is our duty as scientists to inquire, to find more ways in which we are wrong. If we think we are right, we think so because we probably just haven't yet found the evidence that contradicts the current scientific consensus. We should always assume that such evidence exists, and that we just haven't found it yet.
+In essence, "probably wrong" is my reason to stay humble, in general and in particular about my beliefs. As a humankind, we have learned a lot and often thought there isn't more to learn. As good scientists, we change our beliefs when we find evidence that contradicts our current understanding. I think it is our duty as scientists to inquire, to find more ways in which we are wrong. If we think we are right, we think so because we probably just haven't yet found the evidence that contradicts the current scientific consensus. We should always assume that such evidence exists, and that we just haven't found it yet.
 See this example: Early people attributed lightning strikes to wrathful gods. Aristotle thought lightnings were caused by dry "exhalations" in the sky that ignited when compressed in clouds. Scholars in the middle ages put lightnings down to vapors, maybe fiery vapors. Later on, the combustion of sulfurous or oily substances was taken as the reason for lightning. It was only in the 17th century that people started thinking about static electricity, which lead us to our modern understanding of lighting.
-However, this isn't just a matter of "humankind" and "science". We are individuals, you and I. My personal beliefs have underwent several complete paradigm shifts throughout the years. I have grown a lot and learned even more, so I feel like my current views on, say, [[Utilitarianism]], are refined. But, I should really probably just assume that this is yet another step in a long, long path for me to find the truth. Why //wouldn't// my current understanding of a thing be just as wrong as my previous understanding of it, where I thought equally as much that I was right? I should assume that I am wrong about everything.
+However, this isn't just a matter of "humankind" and "science". We are individuals, you and I. My personal beliefs have undergone several complete paradigm shifts throughout the years. I have grown a lot and learned even more, so I feel like my current views on, say, [[Utilitarianism]], are refined. But, I should really probably just assume that this is yet another step in a long, long path for me to find the truth. Why //wouldn't// my current understanding of a thing be just as wrong as my previous understanding of it, where I thought equally as much that I was right? I should assume that I am wrong about everything.
 I've learned over the years that I should stick to a few guiding motives: