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statistical_inevitability [2025/04/09 18:25] ultracomfystatistical_inevitability [2025/11/07 00:26] (current) ultracomfy
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-~~Title:Statistical Inevitability~~ +<WRAP column 18% right>
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 {{page>Templates:science}} {{page>Templates:science}}
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-<fs xx-large>Statistical Inevitability</fs> describes the reality that things, good or bad, //will// happen. Theft, murder, fraud and other malicious activity aren't as much a tragedy as they are a statistical inevitability. Humans are complex beings and asking "why are there bad people out there that would do these things"(("these things" here means //any bad thing// that one could complain about.)) is not a particularly useful starting point to discuss such events. The amount of certainty depends on the topic in question, but, given a large enough population, most things are statistically certain:+~~Title:Statistical Inevitability~~ 
 +<WRAP centeralign>Statistics/\\ 
 +<fs xx-large>Statistical Inevitability</fs></WRAP> 
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 +Statistical Inevitability describes the reality that things, good or bad, //will// happen. Theft, murder, fraud and other malicious activity aren't as much a tragedy as they are a statistical inevitability. Humans are complex beings and asking "why are there bad people out there that would do these things"(("these things" here means //any bad thing// that one could complain about.)) is not a particularly useful starting point to discuss such events. The amount of certainty depends on the topic in question, but, given a large enough population, most things are statistically certain:
   * Typewriting Monkey producing a copy of shakespeare: 1 in 4.4 × 10360,783   * Typewriting Monkey producing a copy of shakespeare: 1 in 4.4 × 10360,783
   * Murderers: 0,006% of people are murderers((Or, have "intentionally committed homicide" - [[https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/VC.IHR.PSRC.P5|World Bank Data on Intentional Homicides]], figure for the entire world for 2020.)).   * Murderers: 0,006% of people are murderers((Or, have "intentionally committed homicide" - [[https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/VC.IHR.PSRC.P5|World Bank Data on Intentional Homicides]], figure for the entire world for 2020.)).
statistical_inevitability.1744223105.txt.gz · Last modified: by ultracomfy

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